Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 10.853796 12.045392 13.327218 14.810881 16.483671 18.314500 20.474328
2025-08-31 8.927180 10.544543 12.410620 14.732193 17.555893 20.895070 25.166713
2025-09-07 7.750304 9.650630 11.978209 15.060904 19.069198 24.149113 31.145473
2025-09-14 6.689109 8.707722 11.308633 14.943591 19.952905 26.701982 36.634312
2025-09-21 5.804587 7.848648 10.599492 14.627956 20.470904 28.784107 41.773979
2025-09-28 5.167120 7.225686 10.105524 14.504057 21.187494 31.185328 47.705163
2025-10-05 4.825171 6.965101 10.070823 15.009259 22.858193 35.188956 56.722057
2025-10-12 4.521218 6.716968 10.012216 15.449642 24.459901 39.280332 66.555984
2025-10-19 4.180503 6.370910 9.757337 15.533489 25.472491 42.519239 75.447839
2025-10-26 3.840158 5.987112 9.396218 15.388088 26.058658 45.078466 83.509337
2025-11-02 3.530937 5.620959 9.022039 15.167789 26.467985 47.350799 91.383968
2025-11-09 3.250963 5.275541 8.645592 14.894162 26.732274 49.366697 99.069436
2025-11-16 3.010838 4.981318 8.337302 14.724985 27.203006 51.913496 108.516325
2025-11-23 2.812883 4.742398 8.103032 14.666568 27.882816 54.988097 119.774997
2025-11-30 2.692305 4.628473 8.079937 15.004618 29.399290 60.036376 136.672634
2025-12-07 2.521594 4.408917 7.841972 14.893710 29.969397 63.128663 149.523289
2025-12-14 2.342285 4.158314 7.522585 14.582393 30.067166 65.172563 160.163547
2025-12-21 2.203474 3.971758 7.307906 14.460609 30.560316 68.199329 174.071212
2025-12-28 2.147551 3.938125 7.387066 14.965047 32.536348 75.102488 200.376068
2026-01-04 2.087536 3.891126 7.434389 15.404493 34.421741 82.108489 228.820505
2026-01-11 1.995733 3.773597 7.327367 15.488353 35.462072 87.115895 252.523315
2026-01-18 1.889414 3.618639 7.129389 15.343584 35.915958 90.636184 272.438304
2026-01-25 1.784735 3.459363 6.909219 15.124086 36.151185 93.597998 291.321231